In the works

  • Young, D.J.N., Geronimo, S.M.A, Churchill, D.J., Kane, V.R. and A.M. Latimer (in revision). Use of climatic water balance for explaining vegetation patterns: assumptions regarding vegetation physiology affect ecological inferences. Global Ecology & Biogeography
  • Dudney, J., Willing, C., Das, A., Latimer, A.M., Nesmith, J., Battles, J. (in review). Climate change asymmetrically shifts infectious tree disease. 
  • Koontz, M.J., A.M. Latimer, L.A. Mortenson, C.J. Fettig and M.P. North (in revision). Differential response of a tree-killing bark beetle to forest structure and composition across a gradient of climatic water deficit. Nature Communications
  • Akman, M., J.E. Carlson and A.M. Latimer (in revision). Climate gradients explain population-level divergence in drought-induced plasticity of functional traits and gene expression in a South African Protea. Molecular Ecology


  • Stuble, K.L., S. Bewick, M. Fisher, M.L. Forister, S.P. Harrison, A.M. Shapiro, A.M. Latimer, L.R. Fox (in press). The promise and the perils of resurveying to understand impacts of global change. Ecological Mongraphs
  • LaForgia, M.L., S.P. Harrison and A.M. Latimer (2020). Invasive species reduce the relative success of drought-avoiding plant species under a variable climate. Ecology 101:e03022. [link]
  • Cansler, C.A. et al. (2020). The Fire and Tree Mortality Database, for empirical modeling of individual tree mortality after fire. Scientific Data 7:194. [link]
  • Weill, A.M., L.M. Watson and A.M. Latimer (2020). Walking through a ‘phoenix landscape’: hiker surveys reveal nuanced perceptions of wildfire effects. International Journal of Wildland Fire 29:561-571. [link]
  • Young, D.J.N., T.D. Blush, M. Landram, J.W. Wright, A.M. Latimer and H.D. Safford (2020). Assisted gene flow in the context of large-scale forest management in California, USA.  Ecosphere 11:e03001. [link]
  • Koontz, M.J., M.P. North, C.M. Werner, S.E. Fick and A.M. Latimer (2020). Local variability of vegetation structure increases forest resilience to wildfire. Ecology Letters 23:483-494 [link]
  • Read, Q.D.R. et al.  (2020). Beyond counts and averages: relating geodiversity to dimensions of biodiversity. Ecography 00:1-15 [link]


  • Young, D.J.N., C.M. Werner, K.R. Welch, T.P. Young, H.D. Safford, A.M. Latimer (2019). Post-fire forest regeneration in California, USA shows limited climate tracking and potential for drought-induced type conversion. Ecology 100:e02571. [link]
  • Latimer, A.M., B.S.Jacobs, T. Heger, E. Gianoli and C. Salgado-Luarte (2019). Parallel differentiation of an invasive annual plant on two continents. AoB Plants 11:plz010. [link]
  • P.L. Zarnetske, Q.D. Read, S. Record, K.M. Dahlin, A.O. Finley, J.M. Grady, M.L. Hobi, S.L. Malone, J.K. Costanza, A.M. Wilson, A.M. Latimer, K.D. Gaddis, S. Pau and S.V. Ollinger (2019). Towards connecting biodiversity and geodiversity across scales with satellite remote sensing. Global Ecol. & Biogeog. 28:548-556. [link]
  • MP North, JT Stevens, DF Greene, M Coppoletta, EE Knapp, AM Latimer et al. (2019). Tamm Review: Reforestation for resilience in dry western US forests. Forest Ecology and Management 432:209-224. [link]


  • LaForgia, M.L., M.J. Spasojevic, E.J. Case, A.M. Latimer and S.P. Harrison (2018). Seed banks of native forbs, but not exotic grasses, increase during extreme drought. Ecology [link]
  • Harrison, S.P, M.L. LaForgia and A.M. Latimer (2018). Climate-driven diversity change in annual grasslands: Drought plus deluge does not equal normal. Global Change Biology DOI 10.1111/gcb.14018 [link]


  • Smithers, B.V., M.P. North, C.I. Millar and A.M. Latimer (2017). Leap frog in slow motion: Divergent responses of tree species and life stages to climatic warming in Great Basin subalpine forests. Global Change Biology DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13881 [link]
  • Young, D.J.N., J. T. Stevens, J. M. Earles, A. Ellis, A. Jirka, J. Moore and A.M. Latimer (2017). Long-term climate and competition explain forest mortality patterns under extreme drought. Ecology Letters DOI: 10.1111/ele.12711 [link]


  • Sprenkle-Hyppolite, S.D., A.M. Latimer, T.P. Young (2016). Landscape and management correlates of reforestation success in Haiti. Ecological Restoration 34:306:316. [link]
  • Copeland, S.M, S.P. Harrison, A.M. Latimer, E.I. Damschen, A.M. Eskelinen, B. Fernandez-Going, M.J. Spasojevic, B.L. Anacker, J.H. Thorne (2016). Ecological effects of an extreme drought: comparing the predictive power of experimental, temporal, and geographic aridity gradients. Ecological Monographs. doi 10.1002/ecm.1218. [link]
  • Jetz, W, J. Cavender-Bares, D. Schimel. R. Pavlik, F. Davis, G.P. Asner, R. Guralnick, J. Kattge, A.M. Latimer, P. Moorcroft, M.E. Schaepman, M.P. Schildhauer, F.D. Schneider, F. Schrodt, S.L. Ustin and W. Turner (2016). A global remote sensing mission to detect and predict plant functional biodiversity change. Nature Plants  2, 16024, doi:10.1038/nplants.2016.24 [link]


  • Akman, M., J.E. Carlson, K.E. Holsinger and A.M. Latimer (2015). Transcriptome sequencing reveals regional differentiation in gene expression linked to functional traits and environmental gradients in South African sugarbush (Protea repens). New Phytologist DOI: 10.1111/nph.13761 [link]
  • Wilson, A.M., A.M. Latimer and J.A. Silander Jr. (2015). Climatic controls on ecosystem resilience: post-fire regeneration in the Cape Floristic Region of South Africa. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112 (29), 9058-9063 [link]
  • Stevens, J.T., H.D. Safford, S.P. Harrison & A.M. Latimer (2015). Forest disturbance accelerates thermophilization of understory plant communities. J. Ecology 103:1253–1263 [link]
  • Stevens, J.T. and A.M. Latimer (2015). Snowpack, fire, and forest disturbance: interactions affect montane invasions by non-native plants. Global Change Biol. 21, 2379-2393 [link]


  • Roche, L.M., A.T. O’Geen, A.M. Latimer & D.J. Eastburn (2014) Montane meadow hydropedology, plant community, and herbivore dynamics. Ecosphere 5:Art150 [open access]
  • Slingsby, J.A., D.D. Ackerly, A.M. Latimer, H.P. Linder and Anton Paw (2014). The assembly and function of Cape plant communities in a changing world. In Fynbos: Ecology, Evolution, and Conservation of a Megadiverse Region. N. Allsopp, J.F. Colville, and G.A. Verboom eds. Oxford University Press. [link]
  • Merow, C., A.M. Latimer, A.M. Wilson, A.G. Rebelo & J.A. Silander, Jr. (2014). On using integral projection models to build demographically driven species distribution models. Ecography. doi: 10.1111/ecog.00839 [link]
  • Heger, T., B.S. Jacobs, A.M. Latimer, J. Kollman & K.J. Rice (2014). Does experience with competition matter? Effects of source competitive environment on mean and plastic trait expression in Erodium cicutarium. Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics. doi:10.1016/j.ppees.2014.06.002 [link]
  • Stevens, J.T., H.D. Safford & A.M. Latimer (2014). Wildfire-contingent effects of fuel treatments can promote ecological resilience in dry mixed conifer forests. Can. J. Forest Res. 44:843-854. [link]


  • Ibáñez, I., E.S. Gornish, L. Buckley, D.M. Debinski, J. Hellmann, B. Helmuth, J. HilleRisLambers, A.M. Latimer, A.J. Miller-Rushing & M. Uriarte (2013). Moving forward in global-change ecology: capitalizing on natural variability. Ecology and Evolution [link]
  • Latimer, A.M. (2013). Species Diversity. In Encyclopedia of Environmetrics, 2d ed., A. El-Sharaawi & W. Piegorsch, eds, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.


  • Hulcr, J., Latimer, A.M., Henley, J.B., Rountree, N.R., Fierer, N., Lucky, A., Lowman, M.D.and Dunn, R.R. (2012). A Jungle in There: Bacteria in Belly Buttons are Highly Diverse, but predictable. PLoS One 7(11): e47712. [open access]
  • Jacobs, B.S. and A.M. Latimer (2012). Analyzing reaction norm variation in the field vs. greenhouse: what the differences can tell us. Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 14:325-334. [link]
  • Latimer, A.M. and B.S. Jacobs (2012). Quantifying how fine-grained environmental heterogeneity and genetic variation affect demography in an annual plant population. Oecologia 170:659-667. [link]
  • Roche, L.M., A.M. Latimer, D.J. Eastburn and K.W. Tate (2012). Cattle grazing and sensitive wildlife species conservation in Sierra Nevada mountain meadows. PLoS One 7(4): e35734. [open access]
  • Safford, H.D., J.T. Stevens, K. Merriam, M.D. Meyer and A.M. Latimer (2012). Fuel treatment effectiveness in California yellow pine and mixed conifer forests. Forest Ecology and Management 274:17-28. [link]
  • Dietze, M.C. and A.M. Latimer (2012). Forest simulators. In Sourcebook in Theoretical Ecology, A. Hastings and L. Gross, eds, UC Press.


  • Richmond, J.Q., E.A. Jockusch and A.M. Latimer (2011). Mechanical reproductive isolation contributes to ecological speciation in western North American scincid lizards. American Naturalist 178:320-332. [link]
  • Chakraborty, A., A.E. Gelfand, A.M. Wilson, A.M. Latimer and J.A. Silander, Jr. (2011). Point Pattern Modeling for Degraded Presence-Only Data over Large Regions. J. Royal Stat Soc. C. 60:757-776. [link]
  • Leicht-Young, S.A., A.M. Latimer and J.A. Silander, Jr. (2011). Lianas escape self-thinning: experimental evidence of positive density dependence in temperate lianas Celastrus orbiculatus and C. scandens. Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 13:163-172. [link]
  • Merow, C., A.M. Latimer and J.A. Silander, Jr. (2011). On the use of entropy maximization to predict species’ abundance. Ecology 92:1523-1537. [link]
  • LaDeau, S. L., G.E. Glass, N.T. Hobbs, A.M. Latimer and R.S. Ostfeld (2011) Data-model fusion to better understand emerging pathogens and improve infectious disease forecasting. Ecological Applications 21:1443-1460. [link]


  • Chakraborty, A., A.E. Gelfand, A.M. Wilson, A.M. Latimer and J.A. Silander, Jr. (2010) Understanding Species Abundance over Large Landscapes through Latent Local Spatial Modeling. Annals of Applied Statistics 4:1403-1429. [link]
  • Ferketic, S.J., A.M. Latimer and J.A. Silander, Jr. (2010). Conservation justice in metropolitan Cape Town: A study at the Macassar Dunes Conservation Area. Biological Conservation 143:1168-1174. [link]
  • Prunier, R.  and A.M. Latimer (2010). Microsatellite primers in the white proteas (Protea section Exsertae, Proteaceae), a rapidly radiating lineage. Am. J. Botany e1-e3. [link]
  • Wilson, A.M., A.M. Latimer, A.E. Gelfand, H. DeKlerk and J.A. Silander, Jr. (2010). A hierarchical Bayesian model of wildfire in a Mediterranean biodiversity hotspot: implications of weather variability and global circulation. Ecological Modelling 221:106-112. [link]
  • Lengyel, S., A.D. Gove, A.M. Latimer, J.D. Majer and Robert R. Dunn (2010). Convergent evolution of seed dispersal by ants, and phylogeny and biogeography in flowering plants: A global survey. Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 12:43-55. [link]


  • Yates, C., J. Elith, A.M. Latimer, D. le Maitre, G. Midgley, F. Schurr and A. West (2009). Projecting climate change impacts on species distributions in megadiverse South African Cape and Southwest Australian Floristic Regions - opportunities and challenges. Austral Ecology 35:374-391. [link]
  • Lengyel, S., A.D. Gove, A.M. Latimer, J.D. Majer and R.R. Dunn. (2009). Ants sow the seeds of global diversification in flowering plants. PLoS One 4:e5480. [open access]
  • Mosher, E., J.A. Silander and A.M.Latimer (2009). The role of land-use history in major invasions by woody plant species in the northeastern North American landscape. Biological Invasions 11 doi:10.1007/s10530-008-9418-8. [open access]
  • Latimer, A.M., J.A. Silander, A.G. Rebelo and G.F. Midgley (2009). Experimental biogeography - the role of environmental gradients in high geographic diversity of Cape Proteaceae. Oecologia 160:151-162. [open access]
  • Leicht-Young, S.A., O'Donnell, H., Latimer, A.M. and J.A. Silander (2009). Effects of an invasive plant species, Celastrus orbiculatus, on soil composition and processes. Am. Midland Naturalist 161:219-231. [link]
  • Latimer, A.M., S. Banerjee, H. Sang,  E. Mosher and J.A. Silander (2009). Hierarchical models facilitate spatial analysis of large data sets: A case study on invasive plant species in the northeastern United States. Ecology Letters 12:144-154. [link]


  • Luo, Y., J.S. Clark, T. Hobbs, S. Lakshmivarahan, A.M. Latimer, K.Ogle, D. Schimel and Xuhui Zhou (2008) Symposium 23. Toward Ecological Forecasting. Bulletin of the ESA 89: 467-474. [link]
  • Martine, C.T., S.A. Leicht-Young, P.M. Herron and A.M. Latimer (2008). Fifteen woody species with potential for invasiveness in New England. Rhodora 110. [link]


  • Latimer, A.M. (2007). Geography and resource limitation complicate metabolism-based predictions of species richness. Ecology 88:1885-1888. [link]
  • Leicht-Young, S.A., J.A. Silander Jr. and A.M. Latimer. (2007). Comparative performance of invasive and native Celastrus species across environmental gradients. Oecologia 154: 273–282. [link]
  • Herron, P.M., C.T. Martine, A.M. Latimer and S.A. Leicht. (2007). Invasive plants and their ecological strategies: a model-based approach to prediction and explanation of woody plant invasion in New England. Diversity and Distributions 13:633-644. [link]


  • Latimer, A.M., S. Wu, A.E. Gelfand and J.A. Silander Jr. (2006). Building statistical models to analyze species distributions. Ecological Applications 16:33-50. [link]
  • Hille Ris Lambers, J., B. Aukema, J. Diez, M. Evans and A.M. Latimer (2006). Effects of global change on inflorescence production: a Bayesian hierarchical analysis. In J.S. Clark and A.E. Gelfand, Applications of Computational Statistics in the Environmental Sciences. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • Etienne, R.S., A.M. Latimer, J.A. Silander Jr., R.M. Cowling (2006). Technical Comment: Limitations of species abundance data for disclosing information on speciation rate and dispersal. Science 311:610. [link]
  • Gelfand, A.E., J.A. Silander Jr., S. Wu, A.M. Latimer, P. Lewis, Anthony G. Rebelo and M. Holder (2006). Explaining species distribution patterns through hierarchical modeling. Bayesian Analysis 1:41-92. [open access]


  • Latimer, A.M., J.A. Silander Jr. and Richard M. Cowling (2005). Neutral ecological theory reveals isolation and rapid speciation in a biodiversity hot spot. Science 309:1722-1725. [link]
  • Gelfand, A.E., A.M. Schmidt, S. Wu, J.A. Silander Jr., A.M. Latimer and A.G. Rebelo (2005). Modelling species diversity through species level hierarchical modeling. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Section C Applied Statistics 54:1-20. [link]


  • Latimer, A.M., J.A. Silander Jr., A.E. Gelfand, A.G. Rebelo and D.M. Richardson (2004). Comparing land use impacts using hierarchical models: a case study in the CFR. South African Journal of Science 100:81-86. [pdf]